GS Analyst: Daily Current Affairs

India must strengthen ties with the Maldives without taking sides in domestic politics, given the political turmoil the Maldives is experiencing.

Background:

• Former Maldivian President Abdulla Yameen has been convicted by a Maldivian criminal court
• As opposition leader, he has spearheaded the “India Out” campaign.
• Yameen has been alleged of having close links with China.

How are these developments relevant to India?

• Abdulla Yameen is trying to link his incarceration to pressure from India.
• India needs to tread carefully regarding the domestic politics of the Maldives.

How have India’s Relations with the Maldives been?

• Security Partnership: Recently, the National College for Policing and Law Enforcement (NCPLE) was inaugurated by India’s External Affairs Minister.
• Economic Cooperation: Tourism is the mainstay of the Maldivian economy. The country is now a major tourist destination for some Indians and a job destination for others.
  • In August 2021, Afcons, an Indian company, signed a contract for the largest-ever infrastructure project in Maldives which is the Greater Male Connectivity Project (GMCP).
• India is Maldives' 2^nd largest trading partner – rising from its 4^th position in 2018.
  • In 2021, bilateral trade registered a growth of 31% over the previous year – overcoming the pandemic-related challenges.

Recent developments in India-Maldives Relations

• The Government has approved the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) in the field of judicial cooperation between India and the Judicial Service Commission of Maldives.
• It is the eighth MoU signed between India and other countries in the field of Judicial Cooperation.
• Male connectivity project: The Greater Male Connectivity Project launch, a USD 500 million project funded by New Delhi.
• Agreements: The countries have signed six agreements to expand cooperation in a range of areas in the Maldives, including:
  • Cybersecurity
  • Capacity Building
  • Housing
  • Disaster Management
  • Challenges in India-Maldives Relations

Challenges:

• Political Instability: India’s primary concern has been the impact of political instability in the neighbourhood on its security and development.
• The February 2015 arrest of Maldives’ opposition leader Mohamed Nasheed on terrorism charges and the consequent political crisis have posed a real diplomatic test for India’s neighbourhood policy.
• Radicalization: In the past decade or so, the number of Maldivians drawn towards terrorist groups like the Islamic State (IS) and Pakistan-based jihadist groups has been increasing.
• This gives rise to the possibility of Pakistan-based terror groups using remote Maldivian islands as a launch pad for terror attacks against India and Indian interests.
• China Angle: China’s strategic footprint in India’s neighbourhood has increased. The Maldives has emerged as an important 'pearl' in China’s “String of Pearls” construct in South Asia.
• Given the uncertain dynamics of Sino-Indian relations, China’s strategic presence in the Maldives remains a concern.
• Also, the Maldives have started using the China card to bargain with India.
  • Anti-India sentiments: The ‘India Out’ campaign has been effective in coordinating between different sources—political parties, social media, media, and China—and intensifying the anti-India sentiments more than ever.