What's New :
6th October 2023 (11 Topics)

The opacity of Vladimir Putin and the fate of the Ukraine war

Context:

As the war in Ukraine continues, Russia’s tactics will remain a problem that needs to be managed — in defeat or victory.

Shifting Dynamics in the Ukraine Conflict

  • US Republican Party's Stance: The US Republican Party's skepticism towards funding Ukraine is raising concerns, while pro-Russia political forces in Europe gain traction.
  • Stakes in the War: The editorial highlights the significance of the Ukraine conflict, emphasizing that its resolution could impact international principles and nuclear weapon use.
  • Russia's Failed Objectives: Russia's strategic goals were not achieved; Ukraine emerged stronger as a nation, forging its identity amid global challenges.

Evolving Objectives and Economic Impact

  • Defining Objectives: The editorial discusses how the objectives of the war have evolved, from Ukraine's sovereignty to territorial reclamation, raising questions about its worth.
  • Economic and Sanction Impact: Despite expectations, Russia's economy hasn't collapsed, and global sanctions haven't achieved their intended effects. The war's cost is now a domestic issue in the West.
  • Capabilities and Negotiation: Russia's ambitions clash with its material and organizational limitations, while democracies grapple with supporting the war. Negotiated settlements become plausible.

The Ground Situation and Future Prospects

  • Stalemate or Progress: The editorial notes that the current ground situation is described as a stalemate, raising questions about Ukraine's objectives and the evolving nature of the war.
  • Putin's Strategy and Western Support: Putin's strategy now focuses on buying time until the next US presidential election, hoping Western support for Ukraine wanes due to domestic pressures.
  • Influence of Western Elections: The war's future depends on election results and changing Western calculations, possibly more than military realities on the ground.
You must be logged in to get greater insights.

Verifying, please be patient.

Enquire Now