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13th May 2025 (13 Topics)

US-China Tariff Deal

Context

In a surprise move, the United States and China agreed to roll back major portions of their tariff war in a temporary deal that marks the most significant thaw in their trade tensions since 2018. The deal is a 90-day truce, with both countries slashing tariffs and pausing non-tariff retaliatory actions.

Brief Background

  • The US-China trade war began in 2018. The US imposed steep tariffs citing:
    • Unfair trade practices by China
    • Intellectual property theft
    • Technology transfer issues
    • Massive trade deficits
  • Escalation (2018–2023): China responded with its own tariffs. Both countries imposed duties on hundreds of billions of dollars of goods.
  • Over time, tariffs increased:
    • US tariffs peaked at 145% on select Chinese goods.
    • Chinese tariffs rose to 125% on US imports.

What has been agreed upon?

  • Tariff reduction: The US has agreed to reduce its tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%. China will cut its tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%.
  • Time frame: This rollback is valid for 90 days from May 14, 2025, during which both sides will continue negotiations.
  • Non-tariff measures: China has also agreed to suspend:
    • Export restrictions on critical minerals (including rare earth elements).
    • Anti-monopoly investigations on American firms like DuPont.
    • Use of “unreliable entity list” against US companies.
  • Exceptions: The US has retained a 20% levy related to fentanyl control, aiming to pressure China to act against illegal opioid trade.

Why are tariffs controversial?

  • Impact on economies:
    • The US economy witnessed its first quarterly contraction since early 2022 as importers rushed to beat high tariffs.
    • China’s exports to the US declined sharply, affecting its manufacturing sector. April 2025 saw Chinese factory output shrink at the fastest pace in 16 months.
  • Impact on global trade and markets:
    • The trade war disrupted global supply chains, particularly in electronics and chemicals.
    • It increased costs for consumers and businesses.
    • Investor confidence was shaken globally, triggering stock market volatility and recession concerns.
What is a trade war?
  • A trade war is an economic conflict in which countries implement and increase tariffs and other nontariff barriers against each other.
  • It typically arises from extreme economic protectionism and usually features so-called tit-for-tat measures, where each side increase tariffs in response to each other.
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