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The Pir Panjal Challenge
Context:
The increasing Terrorists attacks shifted from Kashmir to Poonch-Rajouri area is a concern for the region.
Shift in Terrorist Activity
- Terrorist Relocation: Recent rise in Poonch-Rajouri encounters due to shift from Kashmir; challenging terrain favors terrorists.
- Proxy War Dynamics: Pakistan avoids Kashmir due to strong counter-terrorism measures; Pir Panjal (South) becomes focus.
- Local Support Dynamics: Historical local support in Poonch-Rajouri aids proxy presence; speculative resurgence among Gujjars reported.
Army's Response and Redeployment
- Strategic Redeployment: Troop shifts from Jammu sector to Ladakh since May 2020; Northern Command maintains vigilance.
- Historical Parallel: 1999-2001 experience in Kargil; redeployment, creation of Kilo Force, and sustained retaliation.
- Current Measures: No significant operational space loss; potential for additional redeployment; emphasis on self-learning and tactical adjustments.
Ethical Concerns
- Civilian Casualties: Three local civilian deaths raise concerns; calls for transparent investigation and disciplinary actions.
- Preventive Measures: Suggested review of SOPs, convoy security, and reinforcement movements; public outreach and drone-supported brigade-sized operations.
- Communication and Precautions: Caution against media speculation; emphasize balanced statements; address emotions in Pir Panjal; precautionary measures in the Valley.
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