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Prelims PYQ? - 15-Day Thematic Prelims 2025 Booster
1st March 2025 (10 Topics)

India's Economic Estimates (2024-25)

Context

The National Statistics Office (NSO) has released updated projections for the economy, including GDP (Gross Domestic Product) for FY 2024-25, quarterly estimates for October-December 2024-25, and revised data for previous years (2022-23 and 2023-24). These estimates are presented both at current prices and constant prices (2011-12 base).

Key Points:

  • Growth Projections for FY 2024-25:
    • Real GDP Growth: 6.5% (up from the earlier estimate of 6.1%)
    • Nominal GDP Growth: 9.9% (higher than the previous estimate of 9.6%)
  • Growth in the Previous Years:
    • 2023-24: Real GDP grew by 2%, the highest in 12 years (except for the post-COVID year 2021-22). This growth was mainly driven by strong performances in the manufacturing, construction, and financial services sectors.
    • 2022-23: Real GDP grew by 6%, mainly from the trade, financial services, and electricity sectors.
  • Quarterly Estimates for Q3 of FY 2024-25:
    • Real GDP for Q3 is estimated to grow by 2%.
    • Nominal GDP for Q3 is expected to grow by 9%.
  • Sector-wise Growth in FY 2024-25:
    • The construction sector is expected to grow by 6%.
    • Financial services, real estate, and professional services are projected to grow by 2%.
    • Trade, hotels, transport, communication, and broadcasting services are expected to grow by 4%.
  • Private Consumption (PFCE): Private consumption is expected to grow by 6% in FY 2024-25, up from 5.6% in FY 2023-24.

Revised Estimates for Past Years (2022-23 & 2023-24)

  • 2023-24:
    • Real GDP grew by 9.2%, with strong performances in sectors like manufacturing (12.3%) and construction (10.4%).
    • Nominal GDP grew by 12%.
    • Private Consumption increased by 7.6%.
  • 2022-23:
    • Real GDP grew by 7.6%, mainly driven by trade, financial services, and electricity.
    • Nominal GDP grew by 14%.
    • Private Consumption grew by 8.1%.

Summary of the Key Economic Terms:

  • Real GDP: GDP adjusted for inflation, representing the actual growth of the economy.
  • Nominal GDP: GDP without adjusting for inflation, giving the value of goods and services at current market prices.
  • Gross Value Added (GVA): Measures the value of goods and services produced in the economy.
  • Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE): The total expenditure by households on goods and services.
  • Government Final Consumption Expenditure (GFCE): The total expenditure by the government on goods and services.
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