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18th December 2023 (9 Topics)

Looking to the Black Sea

The Black Sea conflict between Ukraine and Russia illuminates pivotal lessons in naval strategy, emphasizing non-linearity, technological shifts, and cooperation.

Geopolitical Realities in Naval Warfare

  • Geography and Circumstance: Strategic geography, technological disparities, and circumstantial factors significantly influence naval conflicts, shaping outcomes in unpredictable ways.
  • Combat Drones and Missile Strategies: The rise of combat drones, like the Bayraktar TB2, alters naval warfare dynamics, emphasizing the need for strategic adaptation.
  • Creative Technology Use: Ship design and crew competence emerge as crucial factors, highlighting the importance of technological adaptation and crew training.

Implications for Naval Leadership

  • The Black Sea conflict underscores the need for naval leaders to embrace non-linear strategies and adapt to evolving geopolitical realities.
  • Non-Linear Thinking:Naval success hinges on a side's ability to adopt non-linear campaigns, showcasing strategic flexibility and creative thinking.
  • In existential crises, lesser powers tend to think beyond conventional methods, challenging stronger opponents with innovative approaches.

Technological Innovation and Cooperation

  • Embracing advancements: like combat drones and shore-based missiles becomes imperative for naval leaders navigating modern geopolitical challenges.
  • Training and Competence in Naval Forces: Ship design and crew competence are paramount; naval leaders must prioritize training to handle contemporary threats effectively.
  • Lessons from the Black Sea conflict: emphasize the importance of anticipating and mitigating multifaceted challenges at sea.
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