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7th September 2024 (8 Topics)

Aggressive China and Neighbourhood Woes

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Context

The recent diplomatic and strategic challenges for India have highlighted the growing complexities in its relationships with neighboring countries and the need for effective statecraft. Despite efforts to manage border tensions and regional influence, India faces significant obstacles in securing its strategic interests and maintaining a stable neighborhood. This situation underscores the necessity for a refined approach to national security and strategic policy.

Current Diplomatic and Strategic Challenges

  • Border Tensions with China: Despite repeated meetings, India and China have not resolved border disputes, leading to ongoing military standoffs in the Himalayas. China's continued fortification of positions and strategic initiatives like border defense villages highlight persistent tensions.
  • Shifts in Regional Alliances: India’s influence in neighboring countries such as the Maldives and Bangladesh has waned due to shifting local political sentiments and alignment with China. This change has impacted India's strategic interests in the region and its overall influence.
  • Internal and External Perceptions: India's self-perception as a benevolent power contrasts with its neighbors' views of it as a "big brother" or bully. Domestic political issues and provocative rhetoric are believed to contribute to this negative perception, affecting diplomatic relations.

Strategic and Economic Vulnerabilities

  • Trade Deficit and Strategic Dependence: India's substantial trade deficit with China, coupled with dependency on critical imports, limits its strategic maneuverability. The growing reliance on imports of electronics, pharmaceuticals, and rare-earths exacerbates this vulnerability.
  • Defence Import Reliance: India's heavy dependence on defense imports from conflict-prone countries like Russia, Israel, and Ukraine constrains its strategic autonomy. Developing indigenous defense capabilities and diversifying supply chains are crucial for national security.
  • Nuclear Deterrence Gaps: China and Pakistan have advanced their nuclear capabilities, challenging India’s strategic deterrence. India must enhance its nuclear strategy to address potential threats and maintain credibility in its deterrence posture.

Practice Question

Q. Discuss the strategic challenges India faces in maintaining its influence and securing its interests in the region amidst evolving geopolitical dynamics. How should India address its strategic vulnerabilities and enhance its statecraft to achieve its national security objectives?

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