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Why Myanmar rebels' Operation 1027 is a worry for India
Context:
If the violence escalates, more people could flee, and India would be forced to deal with a refugee crisis.
Junta's Struggle:
- Territorial Losses: Junta faces significant setbacks, losing nine towns and 150 outposts to coordinated rebel attacks in northern and northwest Myanmar.
- Military Assets Seized: Rebel alliance, comprising three groups, captures not just territory but also seizes military assets, including tanks and armored vehicles.
- Counteroffensive Delay: Junta's response falters; counteroffensive delayed airstrikes and heavy artillery ineffective; soldiers retreat from smaller outposts to larger strongholds.
Brotherhood Alliance's Offensive:
- Operation 1027: Rebel offensive named "Operation 1027" aims to challenge military rule, control a substantial part of Myanmar; Brotherhood Alliance mobilizes 20,000 fighters.
- Goals of Rebellion: Brotherhood Alliance seeks to eradicate oppressive military dictatorship, making the military regime irrelevant, according to their statement.
- India's Concerns: Rebels fight near Indian border, attacking military camps close to Mizoram; potential refugee crisis worries India as violence escalates.
Ethnic Ties and Refugee Crisis:
- Chin Rebellion Impact: Chin rebellion in Myanmar backed by Mizoram locals due to close ethnic ties; influx of refugees to Mizoram raises concerns.
- Mizoram's Ties: Mizos' close ethnic ties with Myanmar's Chin community lead to an influx of refugees; over 5,000 seek asylum in Mizoram.
- India's Dilemma: Escalating violence may trigger more refugees, posing a refugee crisis for India; New Delhi closely monitors the situation.
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