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16th April 2025 (8 Topics)

India–US Trade Talks

Context

India and the US signed the “Terms of Reference” for the initial phase of a new trade deal. This means they’ve agreed on a basic roadmap for talks. The aim is to finalise the first phase by the end of 2025 with a view to reaching bilateral trade worth USD 500 billion by 2030.

What is in the Agreement?

  • India and the US signed the “Terms of Reference” for the initial phase of a new trade deal.
  • This means they’ve agreed on a basic roadmap for talks.
  • The aim is to finalise the first phase by the end of 2025.
  • Goal: Both sides want to boost bilateral trade to USD 500 billion by 2030.
    (Current India–US trade is around USD 190–200 billion.)
  • India has officially chosen the path of “trade liberalisation” with the US.
  • This implies India is willing to reduce tariffs, open markets, and improve regulatory coordination, but in a phased and careful manner.
  • The first round of virtual discussions is scheduled this month (April), and in-person talks are planned for mid-May 2025.

Trade Friction

  • India and the United States are strategic partners in areas like defence, energy, Indo-Pacific cooperation, and technology.
  • However, on trade issues, relations have frequently faced tensions.
  • Key issues over the past few years:
  • The US has a trade deficit with India (currently around USD 45.6 billion).
  • Former President Trump has often referred to India as the "tariff king", claiming Indian duties on American goods are unfair.
  • The US removed India from GSP (Generalised System of Preferences) in 2019, ending tariff-free access for many Indian exports.
  • Tariffs were imposed on Indian goods like steel, aluminium, and agricultural products.
  • Despite repeated negotiations, a comprehensive trade deal was never finalised in Trump’s first term.

What This Means for India–US Relations?

  • This trade engagement offers a fresh opportunity to rebuild economic ties.
  • India is trying to:
    • Resolve long-standing tariff disputes
    • Retain its strategic autonomy
    • Ensure fair and balanced access for its exporters
  • The trade talks are also important because:
    • They can prevent further economic friction under Trump’s protectionist policies.
    • A successful deal would strengthen the overall strategic relationship, including cooperation in the Quad and Indo-Pacific.
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